Saturday, October 20, 2012

Should the U.S. launch a military strike to prevent Tehran from acquiring a nuclear weapon as a last resort? #tcot #jcot

RRD: I wish to preface this post by noting that I believe that if Tehran's nuclear program is not stopped that we face a potential nuclear holocaust .
That said,how that threat is neutralized, whether through sabotage,or through a overthrow of the Islamic Republic of Iran by it's people,or through a military strike,is another question.

I do not believe that the matter is as simple as immediate war on the one hand, or ”containment” on the other. Containment & deterrence are not terribly effective when you are dealing with apocalyptic medievalists. But Tehran's nuclear program was delayed for months to years by sabotage. Whether we have reached a point where we must face a stark choice between bombing Tehran's nuclear facilities or "learning to live with" nuclear armed maniacs is unclear to me. Certainly the leaks on Israel's cyberwarfare program by this administration have moved us closer to that point.
War is not a lark or a game,& it should only be undertaken as a last resort,but if it does in fact come down to a war initiated by the U.S. against a non-nuclear armed Tehran ,or a war initiated by nuclear armed religious fanatics it would be suicide ( for the U.S. & Iran & Israel) for us to choose the latter.
The Iranian people are held hostage by the maniacs who rule their country,but their situation will not be improved if their dictators unleash a nuclear holocaust in the middle east.
My purpose in posting this is not to call for war,but to make the case that if we exhaust all other options,we must preserve the option of a military strike on Tehran's nuclear facilities.

More arguments:


The argument against Military action (even as a last resort) :

No Rush to War - NYTimes.com

http://www.nytimes.com/2012/09/15/opinion/no-rush-to-war.html?_r=0


The argument for Military action as a last resort:


The Price of Inaction An Analysis of Energy and Economic Effects of a Nuclear Iran Bipartisan Policy Center

http://bipartisanpolicy.org/library/report/price-of-inaction

HT to for the source:

The Costs of Inaction on Iran « Commentary Magazine

http://www.commentarymagazine.com/2012/10/19/the-costs-of-inaction-on-iran-study-nuclear-oil-gas-prices/


Background:


List of links on the Islamic Republic of Iran’s Nuclear Threat and Mahdism (the doctrine of the Twelfth Imam) | Glory to man in the highest

http://gloryofman.wordpress.com/list-of-links-on-the-islamic-republic-of-irans-nuclear-threat-and-mahdism-the-doctrine-of-the-twelfth-imam/

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